Investing in alternatives: some key considerations:
1. Alternatives come in different shapes and sizes
Alternatives are not a homogenous asset class – a fund buying and renting out commercial property will have different performance characteristics to a strategy seeking to capture price trends in futures markets. Even strategies that pursue similar styles can vary hugely. Long-short equities, for example, can range from hedged and diversified low-volatility investments, to concentrated portfolios taking large, leveraged bets on specific companies. Not only does the risk profile of the two strategies differ, but so does their interaction with the rest of an investor’s portfolio. The more concentrated strategy, for instance, is more likely to move in tandem with an investor’s equity holdings.
2. Strategies can vary: sorting the sheep from the goats
Assessing an individual strategy’s performance presents its own challenges. Investors should be suspicious of strategies that show exceptionally high Sharpe ratios over short time horizons, as there is a strong chance that the track record is the result of luck rather than skill. The downside of waiting, however, is that strategies with proven track records of delivering exceptional returns often have limited capacity and are closed to new investments.
In the world of quantitative investment – of which Winton is a part – investors must also be wary of overly optimistic back tests, as such simulations are prone to overfitting and selection bias. These are topics for which there is plenty of empirical evidence.[2] Some systematic managers also promise to offer “crisis alpha” or “tail-risk protection” − a claim that can also be dubious.[3]
3. Assess liquidity… or the lack of
Liquidity, or the ease with which an investment can be bought or sold, is another important consideration. Popular investment fund structures − such as Australian unit trusts − offer investors the ability to redeem their shares at regular intervals, often daily. But with alternative investments, there can sometimes be a mismatch between the liquidity offered to investors and that in the underlying portfolio. Several Australian property funds, for instance, were forced to suspend trading in the final quarter of 2008, when large numbers of investors sought to redeem their holdings during the Global Financial Crisis.
Liquidity is far more plentiful for some strategies. As the name would suggest, “liquid alternatives” trade highly liquid instruments. By way of example, the Winton Global Alpha Fund’s strategy is implemented across an investment universe of around 100 futures contracts that are assessed for liquidity.
4. Ensuring you get what you pay for
Finally, there are the fees. Alternative investments have a reputation for being expensive, particularly private equity funds and hedge funds. Yet our analysis shows that hedge fund fees in fact range widely.[4]
Moreover, an alternative investment strategy will incur higher implementation costs relative to, say, an equity index tracker. Fees are therefore used to offset the costs of the infrastructure and technology required, as well as to fund the research needed to give a strategy the best chance of maintaining an edge.
Investors should thus focus on net performance when assessing a strategy’s track record.
In our view, a strong commitment to research and development has helped the Winton Global Alpha Fund produce creditable long-term returns after fees since its launch in May 2007 (see below).